Timothy Benton | May 17, 2019 | 0
Does China Know Something We Aren’t Being told?
Does China Know Something We Aren’t Being told?
North Korea even though we have given time after time the ability to pull back, to stop the belligerence, they have instead chose to become more aggressive in their confrontation with the US. China has told us they are trying to tamper down North Korea but are they? Is there something we aren’t being told?
If we do not wish to fight, we can prevent the enemy from engaging us even though the lines of our encampment be merely traced out on the ground. All we need do is to throw something odd and unaccountable in his way. Sun Tzu
China Moves Make Sense
For China right now to have a military engagement with the US would be very disadvantageous for them. With the debt they hold, the US could easily in a time of war nationalize that debt, China would lose out of trillions.
Further, much of China’s trade is still confined to the US, although they have been working feverishly to diversify. Last year China had a total of $2.04 trillion in exports; of this they exported $463 billion to the US, that means that they are looking at 22% of their imports being cut off in the event of a war, but further, nations that are our allies may very well fall in line, China could face a 50% reduction in trade, this would devastate their economy, would put at risk all they have worked for and gained over the last 50 years. This economic loss would make a war for any nation impossible unless your national survival was at stake, it simply is not in China’s interests to go down this road.
What is more, China knows that in such an event as war they would face an immediate cut off of sea access, the simple fact is the US had a larger navy and Air Force then China, India and Russia combined, so going head to head is not an option, instead they have to figure out ways to set up points that would be too costly to pass. This is why they are spending billions if not trillions on building artificial Island bases, if they can put up a barrier they can make it too costly to go past that point, they have not neutralized our strength, but have made it so it is so costly in terms of men and equipment the gains would not be viable.
So in war, the way is to avoid what is strong, and strike at what is weak.”
― Sun Tzu, The Art of War
So What Does This Have To Do With North Korea?
If you are trying to expand your influence against a superior foe, which at this time the US is militarily, you can’t do so by direct confrontation, that would put you in a very weak position, so you do something else.
“Be extremely subtle even to the point of formlessness. Be extremely mysterious even to the point of soundlessness. Thereby you can be the director of the opponent’s fate.”
― Sun Tzu, The Art of War
If you wish to deal with a superior foe, you don’t do so by confronting him head on, you first stir up conflicts where he has to divide his military to deal with different conflicts. If you look at the problem with Iran, with Syria, with North Korea, along with other regional players that are causing issue for the US, you will find behind them is China.
China knows as we become more and more entangled we will have to split up our forces to deal with these small flare ups, soon the superiority we hold is neutralized by the fact that we instead of having the power confined into one strong unmovable unit, we have had to split it into thousand pieces.
A nation may not be able to deal with the whole, but they can put pressure on the nation if they have to deal with flare ups all over, thus the forces they have left are equal or lesser in strength then the adversary.
We can form a single united body, while the enemy must split up into fractions. Hence there will be a whole pitted against separate parts of a whole, which means that we shall be many to the enemy’s few. Sun Tzu
Thus in comes Korea. China if they can keep themselves out of the conflict would be in a win/win situation. If a war comes, the US will have to most likely 3 or 4 carriers off the coast of Korea, with only 11 carriers, and of those 3 are in the docks undergoing overhauls, this means that we will have to put 50% of our carrier force off of North Korea, we also will have to keep at least 2 in another theater, this leaves the US with 2 available, China has gone from a terrible disadvantage to one that while not at the same strength, they have neutralized America’s overwhelming advantage when dealing with sea power.
So what would happen in an event of a war with North Korea?
The biggest elephant in the room is how China will react. China is calculating with everything they do, they know if they commit forces to aid North Korea in a war with the US they would risk a war widening to a much larger conflict, than instead of facing a 2 carrier fleet, the carriers for the most part would pull off of the North Korea’s coast and start dealing with their defensive Islands they have built up in the South China Sea, I see no advantages to this, I am sure China doesn’t either.
But what I do see is if they give aid to North Korea on the sly, act during the conflict that they are trying to push them towards peace, they would put the US at ease, being a peace broker would give them much more political stature around the world, thus increasing their ability to influence, and all without firing a shot.
Further, if North Korea did something as stupid as fire off their nukes in a mass attack against the US, there is a chance that we could deal with the nukes, but there is also a very good chance if they fired more then one or two, say ten or twenty, we would see some leak through. With a normal bomb, that is terrible, but with a nuke, it is catastrophic. In such an event, if North Korea was able to strike at say New York City, Chicago and LA, or maybe Seattle, or could take out more then one major city, it would quickly bring the US into a state of chaos, then the anger would rise from this nation with a mighty roar.
China is a very astute student of history, they have in history seen the US’s reaction to the attack on Pearl Harbor, then the attacks on 9/11, they know that while we are slow to anger, you finally draw this out of the nation, we have the ability to circle wagons and forget all that divides us, a strike against one more city, this would be far more catastrophic then anything the US has ever experienced, the anger of the nation would rise to new heights.
“In the midst of chaos, there is also opportunity”
― Sun Tzu, A Arte da Guerra
China knows if the US got hit with such an attack, it would result in the destruction of North Korea, or at least the leadership. But what would their status, not to mention their place in world opinion rise to if they were there to take out the North Korean leadership, if they acted to get justice for what happened to the US? Further if they rushed supplies and medical personnel to the US to aid in recoveries from such an attack?
A grateful tiger is better then a ungrateful one, but you still need to watch out, they are still tigers. Tim Benton
Plans and More Plans.
“Engage people with what they expect; it is what they are able to discern and confirms their projections. It settles them into predictable patterns of response, occupying their minds while you wait for the extraordinary moment — that which they cannot anticipate.”
― Sun Tzu, The Art of War
China has no desire for a direct military confrontation; rather they need to see the US weakened so they can take what they feel is their rightful place in the world.
While we look at the short view, the US and most of the West has always done this, we as a rule don’t plan for 30 or 50 years out unless it is for military equipment, this is not due to some philosophical difference, the simple fact is if you try to fight a war with yesterday’s tech and tactics, you are going to be defeated. While the military may plan a little for the future, I would challenge anyone who says that the US government does. They may create contingency plans, this is more preparation then future planning, but in the scheme of dealing with nations, they do little.
China on the other hand has looked at the long view for years. Years ago they planned to take over the strategic control of all rare earth metals in the world when they were harmed by a embargo, so over the last 40 years have set about to corner the market rare earth metal production and supply (they aren’t really rare, they are everywhere, but they are very hard to find in quantities worth mining, and are very difficult to extract). China put the world on notice when in a tiff with Japan they cut off exports and put at threat Japan’s whole tech industries (rare earth metals are used in everything from computers to magnets, speakers to batteries).
They have also for the most part shut down both ours and Europe’s ability manufacture modern day needed items, the did not destroy our ability by force, rather they made it unprofitable, so we in turn gave up this ability to China and other nations like India, recycling is a great example. Our power used to be that almost all personal items we made ourselves, attacking us like the Japanese did, did not take this ability away, although due to a total war footing we switched the ability out for a short period while we retooled for a war footing, after the war we had the facilities, the people to work in them that put the US in a place that no other country could match; we no longer have this ability,
So why do the Actions of China Worry US?
When you see making massive moves you have to think there may be a reason for this, they are doing so now.
Since Trump has gotten elected they have gone on a crash program in building up resettlement camps along their North Korean borders. China at this point say they have enough room to house 500,000 North Korea’s Refugee’s and are building like crazy to expand this by many times the size they have it now. Is there something we aren’t being told?
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War with North Korea
If the unthinkable happened, war between the US and North Korea, how would such a war take shape. This is a look by a author of what he thinks such a war would play out.We at 0censor operate without any aid from big investors. Although we do advertise with Google it does not pay the bills. We like many new businesses are beset with a host of new bills. Further adding to this is my refusal to back down on what is seen as controversial subjects, due to this we have been under constant attacks. In the last 3 months alone I am on my third computer due to very good hackers getting around my firewalls, and this is my personal computer. I think they feel this will stop me, I just grab another and keep putting out articles, but my resources are finite. We turn to you our readers and ask for your help so we can continue putting out the news without being censored from a large paying advertisers. If you would like to help, please click on the banner below.